^化石^

世界范围的经济危机，看看中国浙江的情况：

  浙商倒闭大潮拉响中国经济警报

http://chinayehang.blog.sohu.com/101757825.html

    10月11日，浙江媒体都在首要位置报道了浙江绍兴最大的民营企业——“浙江华联三鑫集团”破产倒闭的消息。“华联三鑫”拥有亚洲最大、世界第二的PTA（一种用于制造涤纶的化工产品）生产基地，其股东包括著名上市公司“华联控股”（000036）和“华西村”（000936），资产总规模为110亿。其另外两个股东则是绍兴当地的著名企业“展望集团”和“加佰利集团”，他们都是绍兴最大的企业之一。其中，展望集团旗下的“展望股份”和加佰利集团旗下的“永隆实业”都是香港上市公司。据华联三鑫上报给政府的材料称，其债务缺口高达72.82亿元，除涉及国内数十家企业外，还牵涉十余家国内商业银行。目前，集团副总裁周振敏已被绍兴警方控制，而另一大股东浙江加佰利集团董事长孙利永则失去联系，未经证实的消息称其已经逃往国外。

    而仅仅4天以前的10月7日，全国最大的印染企业——绍兴“浙江江龙控股集团”破产倒闭。其在新加坡上市的“中国印染”，在新加坡当地时间10月8日14点20分被暂停交易。江龙控股是一家集研发、生产、加工和销售于一体的大型印染企业，旗下有浙江南方科技有限公司、浙江江龙纺织印染有限公司等多家企业。仅其子公司江龙印染2005年销售额就为6亿元人民币，净利润达到7000万元。据称，江龙集团的债务高达20亿元，其中大部分为银行贷款和民间借贷。其董事长陶寿龙和妻子严琪目前已双双失踪。

    8月13日，位于浙江兰溪的“浙江一新集团”董事长郑亚津因巨额债务纠纷，在其办公室自缢身亡。“一新集团”是一家从事中西药制剂及天然药物制剂研制、生产和销售的国家高新技术企业，曾位列国家中成药50强企业，主要生产和销售中西药制剂、原料药、植物提取物和保健品。其生产的“一新小儿喜食糖浆”曾在上世纪末一度成为明星品牌，集团年销售额大约7000万～9000万元。

    7月30日，坐落于浙江省会杭州的“浙江金义集团” 董事长，曾经排名中国福布斯富豪榜第35位的陈金义，因身负巨债，神秘失踪。“金义集团”是杭州乃至浙江一家有着很高知名度的民营企业，业务范围涉及化工原料、食品饮料、房地产开发、商业连锁等诸多领域。其董事长兼总经理陈金义，出生于1961年,浙江桐庐县毕浦乡方吴村人，现任浙江省政协委员，曾获全国优秀青年企业家、杭州十大杰出青年、新长征突击手等多项荣誉称号。

    7月17日，浙江义乌排名前五位的“浙江金乌集团”因巨额债务无法偿还，被破产拍卖。其董事长张政建失踪。“金乌集团”是义务的明星企业，是一家集农、工、商于一体的综合现代化企业，旗下有全资子公司浙江娇丽袜业制衣有限公司、义乌万盛化纤有限公司、金华市江南农庄有限公司、深圳狄加贸易有限公司，并在阿联酋（迪拜）创办了山图贸易有限公司。主要涉及袜品、服装的生产销售及后整理加工，棉纱、化纤原料的批发、零售。产品不仅在国内有着庞大的销售网络，并远销日本、美国、欧共体和俄罗斯等国家。

    6月5日，坐落于浙江台州的“浙江飞跃集团”，身陷严重债务，资不抵债，遭受资金链断裂的危机。“飞跃集团”是世界最大的缝制设备生产基地，自1986年创建以来，形成了从产品研发到整机、模具和零部件制造、质量控制、售后服务的一整套完备体系。在缝制领域，飞跃几乎囊括了所有的产品类型，拥有31大系列300多个品种，年产各类缝纫机200万台，其中超高速包缝机、绷缝机占世界总产量的50%以上。“飞跃集团”董事长邱继宝，曾经被朱镕基称为“国宝”，1962年7月出生于浙江台州，是中共十六大代表。曾荣获全国优秀中国特色社会主义事业建设者、中国制造业十大创新人物、中国青年五四奖章、全国道德模范提名奖、中国民营企业杰出代表、中国民营经济杰出贡献企业家、推动中国品牌国际化十大年度人物、中国民营企业自主创新十大领军人物、中国民营企业国际竞争力十大领军人物、中国经营大师、全国优秀青年企业家、中国优秀民营科技企业家奖、中国企业商标50人、浙江省劳动模范、浙江省突出贡献企业经营者、浙江省非公经济杰出企业家、浙江省道德建设先进个人、浙江省十大杰出青年、浙江商人年度风云人物资深贡献奖等多项荣誉称号。

    在短短4个月时间内，浙江企业界接二连三出现大企业和龙头企业倒闭事件，应该引起人们的高度警惕，事实上，它已经为中国经济可能出现的严重衰退和危机拉响了警报！曾几何时，浙商是中国企业家中最具创业精神、最懂经营之道、最富灵活权变的代名词。地处长三角的浙江和地处珠三角的广东，是中国制造业高速增长的两大引擎。去年以来，首先是广东外贸企业由于人民币升值出现大量倒闭现象，接着就是今年年初浙江出现中小企业大量倒闭事件。现在，这一局面已经开始危及广东和浙江的大企业。根据国际经验，经济衰退和危机时的企业倒闭浪潮一般会经历以下三个阶段：

    第一阶段，是一些抗风险能力较弱的中小企业出现倒闭，这是衰退和危机的初始阶段；

    第二阶段，是部分大企业陷入资金链断裂困境，开始出现倒闭，这是衰退和危机的升级阶段；

    第三阶段，由于大企业涉及较广的债务锁链，由几家大企业倒闭将引发全面的债务危机，从而使破产和倒闭大面积升级和扩散，这是衰退和危机的全面爆发阶段，也是经济衰退和经济危机最为艰难的时期。

    仅从上述浙商倒闭或资金链断裂的六家大企业看，直接涉及的企业可能多达上百家，而直接涉及的债务规模则可能高达200-300亿。如果加上企业间的互相担保，这一数据还将被几倍、十几倍的放大。可以预料，在未来半年乃至一年时间内，浙江的企业界还将引爆一连串债务地雷，从而直接威胁浙江作为一个经济发达和制造业大省在全国的领军地位。而广东和浙江出现的危机和衰退，则将使长三角和珠三角这两个中国工业高速增长的引擎失去其强劲的推动力，从而致使整个中国经济出现失速。

Obama’s Victory Speech

http://www.nytimes.com/2008/11/04/us/politics/04text-obama.html?scp=4&sq=obama%20victory&st=cse

[The following is a transcript of Senator Barack Obama’s victory speech in Chicago, as provided by Federal News Service.]

SENATOR BARACK OBAMA: (Cheers, applause.) Hello, Chicago. (Cheers, applause.)

If there is anyone out there who still doubts that America is a place where all things are possible, who still wonders if the dream of our Founders is alive in our time, who still questions the power of our democracy, tonight is your answer. (Cheers, applause.)

It's the answer told by lines that stretched around schools and churches in numbers this nation has never seen, by people who waited three hours and four hours, many for the first time in their lives, because they believed that this time must be different, that their voices could be that difference.

It's the answer spoken by young and old, rich and poor, Democrat and Republican, black, white, Hispanic, Asian, Native American, gay, straight, disabled and not disabled -- (cheers) -- Americans who sent a message to the world that we have never been just a collection of individuals or a collection of red states and blue states; we are and always will be the United States of America. (Cheers, applause.)

It's the answer that -- that led those who've been told for so long by so many to be cynical and fearful and doubtful about what we can achieve to put their hands on the arc of history and bend it once more toward the hope of a better day. It's been a long time coming, but tonight, because of what we did on this day, in this election, at this defining moment, change has come to America. (Cheers, applause.)

A little bit earlier this evening, I received an extraordinarily gracious call from Senator McCain. (Cheers, applause.)

Senator McCain fought long and hard in this campaign, and he's fought even longer and harder for the country that he loves. He has endured sacrifices for America that most of us cannot begin to imagine. We are better off for the service rendered by this brave and selfless leader. (Applause.) I congratulate him, I congratulate Governor Palin for all they've achieved, and I look forward to working with them to renew this nation's promise in the months ahead. (Cheers, applause.)

I want to thank my partner in this journey, a man who campaigned from his heart and spoke for the men and women he grew up with on the streets of Scranton, and rode with on the train home to Delaware, the vice president-elect of the United States, Joe Biden. (Cheers, applause.)

And I would not be standing here tonight without the unyielding support of my best friend for the last 16 years, the rock of our family, the love of my life, the nation's next first lady, Michelle Obama. (Cheers, applause.)

Sasha and Malia, I love you both more than you can imagine, and you have earned the new puppy that's coming with us to the White House. (Cheers, applause.)

And while she's no longer with us, I know my grandmother is watching, along with the family that made me who I am. I miss them tonight, and know that my debt to them is beyond measure.

To my sister Maya, my sister Auma, all my other brothers and sisters, thank you so much for all the support that you've given to me. I am grateful to them. (Cheers, applause.)

And to my campaign manager, David Plouffe -- (cheers, applause) -- the unsung hero of this campaign who built the best -- (cheers) -- the best political campaign I think in the history of the United States of America -- (cheers, applause) -- to my chief strategist, David Axelrod -- (cheers, applause) -- who has been a partner with me every step of the way, to the best campaign team ever assembled in the history of politics -- (cheers) -- you made this happen, and I am forever grateful for what you've sacrificed to get it done. (Cheers, applause.)

But above all, I will never forget who this victory truly belongs to. It belongs to you. (Cheers, applause.) It belongs to you. (Cheers.)

I was never the likeliest candidate for this office. We didn't start with much money or many endorsements. Our campaign was not hatched in the halls of Washington; it began in the backyards of Des Moines and the living rooms of Concord and the front porches of Charleston. It was built by working men and women who dug into what little savings they had to give $5 and $10 and $20 to the cause. (Cheers, applause.) It grew strength from the young people who rejected the myth of their generation's apathy -- (cheers) -- who left their homes and their families for jobs that offered little pay and less sleep. It drew strength from the not-so-young people who braved the bitter cold and scorching heat to knock on the doors of perfect strangers, and from the millions of Americans who volunteered and organized, and proved that more than two centuries later a government of the people, by the people and for the people has not perished from the Earth. This is your victory. (Cheers, applause.) 

Now, I know you didn't do this just to win an election, and I know you didn't do it for me. You did it because you understand the enormity of the task that lies ahead. For even as we celebrate tonight, we know the challenges that tomorrow will bring are the greatest of our lifetime: two wars, a planet in peril, the worst financial crisis in a century. Even as we stand here tonight, we know there are brave Americans waking up in the deserts of Iraq and the mountains of Afghanistan to risk their lives for us. There are mothers and fathers who will lie awake after their children fall asleep and wonder how they'll make the mortgage or pay their doctors' bills or save enough for their child's college education.

There's new energy to harness, new jobs to be created, new schools to build, and threats to meet, alliances to repair.

The road ahead will be long. Our climb will be steep. We may not get there in one year or even in one term, but America, I have never been more hopeful than I am tonight that we will get there. I promise you: We as a people will get there. (Cheers, applause.)

AUDIENCE: Yes, we can! Yes, we can! Yes, we can! Yes, we can! Yes, we can!

MR. OBAMA: There will be setbacks and false starts. There are many who won't agree with every decision or policy I make as president, and we know the government can't solve every problem. But I will always be honest with you about the challenges we face. I will listen to you, especially when we disagree. And above all, I will ask you to join in the work of remaking this nation the only way it's been done in America for 221 years -- block by block, brick by brick, calloused hand by calloused hand.

What began 21 months ago in the depths of winter cannot end on this autumn night. This victory alone is not the change we seek; it is only the chance for us to make that change.

And that cannot happen if we go back to the way things were. It can't happen without you, without a new spirit of service, a new spirit of sacrifice. So let us summon a new spirit of patriotism, of responsibility where each of us resolves to pitch in and work harder and look after not only ourselves, but each other.

Let us remember that if this financial crisis taught us anything, it's that we cannot have a thriving Wall Street while Main Street suffers. In this country, we rise or fall as one nation; as one people.

Let's resist the temptation to fall back on the same partisanship and pettiness and immaturity that has poisoned our politics for so long. Let's remember that it was a man from this state who first carried the banner of the Republican Party to the White House -- a party founded on the values of self-reliance and individual liberty and national unity. Those are values we all share. And while the Democratic Party has won a great victory tonight, we do so with a measure of humility and determination to heal the divides that have held back our progress. (Cheers, applause.)

As Lincoln said to a nation far more divided than ours, "We are not enemies, but friends -- though passion may have strained it must not break our bonds of affection." And to those Americans whose support I have yet to earn, I may not have won your vote tonight, but I hear your voices, I need your help, and I will be your president too. (Cheers, applause.)

And to all those watching tonight from beyond our shores, from parliaments and palaces to those who are huddled around radios in the forgotten corners of the world, our stories are singular, but our destiny is shared, and a new dawn of American leadership is at hand. (Cheers, applause.) To those -- to those who would tear the world down: we will defeat you. (Cheers, applause.) To those who seek peace and security: we support you. (Cheers, applause.) And to all those who have wondered if America's beacon still burns as bright: tonight we proved once more that the true strength of our nation comes not from the might of our arms or the scale of our wealth, but from the enduring power of our ideals -- democracy, liberty, opportunity and unyielding hope. (Cheers, applause.)

That's the true genius of America, that America can change. Our union can be perfected. And what we have already achieved gives us hope for what we can and must achieve tomorrow.

This election had many firsts and many stories that will be told for generations. But one that's on my mind tonight's about a woman who cast her ballot in Atlanta. She is a lot like the millions of others who stood in line to make their voice heard in this election, except for one thing: Ann Nixon Cooper is 106 years old. (Cheers, applause.)

She was born just a generation past slavery; a time when there were no cars on the road or planes in the sky; when someone like her couldn't vote for two reasons, because she was a woman and because of the color of her skin. And tonight, I think about all that she's seen throughout her century in America: the heartache and the hope, the struggle and the progress, the times we were told that we can't, and the people who pressed on with that American creed, yes we can.

At a time when women's voices were silenced and their hopes dismissed, she lived to see them stand up and speak out and reach for the ballot. Yes we can.

When there was despair in the Dust Bowl and depression across the land, she saw a nation conquer fear itself with a New Deal, new jobs, a new sense of common purpose. Yes we can.

AUDIENCE: Yes we can!

MR. OBAMA: When the bombs fell on our harbor and tyranny threatened the world, she was there to witness a generation rise to greatness and a democracy was saved. Yes we can.

AUDIENCE: Yes we can!

MR. OBAMA: She was there for the buses in Montgomery, the hoses in Birmingham, a bridge in Selma, and a preacher from Atlanta who told a people that "We shall overcome." Yes we can.

AUDIENCE: Yes we can!

MR. OBAMA: A man touched down on the Moon, a wall came down in Berlin, a world was connected by our own science and imagination. And this year, in this election, she touched her finger to a screen and cast her vote, because after 106 years in America, through the best of times and the darkest of hours, she knows how America can change.

Yes, we can.

AUDIENCE: Yes, we can.

MR. OBAMA: America, we have come so far. We have seen so much. But there's so much more to do. So tonight let us ask ourselves, if our children should live to see the next century, if my daughters should be so lucky to live as long as Ann Nixon Cooper, what change will they see? What progress will we have made?

This is our chance to answer that call. This is our moment. This is our time -- to put our people back to work and open doors of opportunity for our kids; to restore prosperity and promote the cause of peace; to reclaim the American dream and reaffirm that fundamental truth that out of many, we are one; that while we breathe, we hope; and where we are met with cynicism and doubt and those who tell us that we can't, we will respond with that timeless creed that sums up the spirit of a people: Yes, we can.

AUDIENCE: Yes, we can.

MR. OBAMA: Thank you. God bless you. And may God bless the United States of America. (Cheers, applause.)

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